The Tennessee Volunteers ended last season with a six-game winning streak, and now, with help from a little divine intervention, they’ve started this season with five straight victories. They’re also 5-1 against the spread in their last six games away from Neyland Stadium.
The Volunteers hit the SEC road for the second straight week when they head down to College Station to take on Texas A&M on Saturday afternoon.
Point spread: The Aggies opened as 6.5-point favorites, according to sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark. (Line updates and matchup report)
College football pick, via Odds Shark computer: 32.2-29.8 Aggies (College football picks on every game)
Why the Tennessee Volunteers can cover the spread
The preseason favorites in the SEC East are 5-0 overall and 2-0 in conference play after using a minor miracle to stun Georgia in Athens last week 34-31. The Vols fell down to the Bulldogs 17-0 but scored just before halftime and on the first possession of the second half to get back in the game.
Later, Tennessee took its first lead when its defense came up with a strip-sack in the end zone for a touchdown with just under three minutes to go. That defense then gave that lead back on a 47-yard Georgia bomb with 10 seconds to go, and the Vols looked like they were dead. But a bad penalty on the Bulldogs led to great field position for Tennessee, and Joshua Dobbs took advantage, heaving a 43-yard Hail Mary to Jauan Jennings on the last play of the game for the winning score.
That’s back-to-back come-from-behind victories for Tennessee; two weeks ago, they fell down to Florida 21-0 before scoring 38 unanswered points in a 38-28 win.
Why the Texas A&M Aggies can cover the spread
The Aggies, picked to finish in the lower reaches of the SEC West this season, are also 5-0 overall—and 3-0 in SEC play—after holding off South Carolina last week 24-13. Texas A&M’s defense gave up a Gamecocks touchdown on the first play from scrimmage but held them to a pair of field goals from there. Meanwhile, the Aggies took the lead for good on the first possession of the second half when running back Trayveon Williams bolted 49 yards for a score.
A&M produced a balanced 422 yards of offense—216 on the ground, 206 through the air—and went 9-of-19 on third-down conversions while holding South Carolina to just 3-of-14.
The Aggies couldn’t quite cover last week as 19-point favorites, but that’s the first time this year they failed to grab the cash.
Tennessee’s been playing with fire, as it needed overtime to beat Appalachian State back in the season opener, struggled with Ohio and fell down big against both Florida and Georgia before coming back. One of these times, it’s going to get burned. Texas A&M, meanwhile, is reaping great benefits from graduate transfer quarterback Trevor Knight, who’s thrown seven touchdown passes and run for six scores. The spread on this game seems inflated by two points or so toward the home team, but the Aggies are still the smart betting choice.
Texas A&M is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games at home.
Texas A&M is 1-4 SU and ATS in its last five games against teams with winning records.
Tennessee is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games against teams with winning records.
All college football betting lines and point spreads data courtesy of Bleacher Report’s official odds partner, Odds Shark. All quotes gathered firsthand unless otherwise noted. Check out Twitter for injury and line movement updates and Odds Shark YouTube for picks and analysis, or download the free odds tracker app.
Read more SEC Football news on BleacherReport.com
Source: Bleacher Report -SEC Football