South Carolina holds the upper hand in the recent rivalry with Mississippi State, winning the last seven meetings in a row and going 6-1 against the spread in the process. However, some of that streak stretches back into irrelevance, as these SEC foes don’t meet on a yearly basis.
The Bulldogs get their chance to snap that streak when they host the Gamecocks on Saturday night down in Starkville, Mississippi.
Point spread: Bulldogs opened as 9.5-point favorites, according to sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark. (Line updates and matchup report)
College football pick, via Odds Shark computer: 33.6-22.9 Bulldogs (College football picks on every game)
Why the South Carolina Gamecocks can cover the spread
The Will Muschamp era is off to a solid start, in the form of a 13-10 victory at Vanderbilt last Thursday. The Gamecocks trailed the Commodores 10-0 well into the third quarter, but they tied the game with a 48-yard field goal by senior Elliott Fry and an eight-yard end-around scoring run by wide receiver Deebo Samuel. South Carolina then got the ball back late, drove 36 yards and won it on a 55-yarder from Fry.
On the night, the Gamecocks only managed 308 yards of total offense, but the South Carolina defense only allowed 242.
South Carolina only returned nine starters from a 3-9 team, but perhaps Coach Muschamp can infuse some renewed enthusiasm into this program.
Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs can cover the spread
MSU opened the post-Dak Prescott era in inglorious fashion, blowing a big early lead and falling at home to South Alabama 21-20 last Saturday. The Bulldogs led the Jaguars 17-0 at the half and 20-7 with 20 minutes to go, but they gave up a 99-yard touchdown drive and later allowed a fourth-down score with a minute left to fall behind. Mississippi State then drove into field-goal range, but kicker Westin Graves clanked a chip shot off an upright in the final seconds.
The Bulldogs outrushed South Alabama 239-94, with quarterback Damian Williams leading the way with 93 yards on 12 carries. The junior also completed 20 of 28 passes for 143 yards and one touchdown (no interceptions).
Mississippi State returned 10 starters from last season, and while that’s not many, the Bulldogs only returned seven starters for last season and still won nine games.
College football can be a tumultuous place, where what’s up one week is down the next—and vice versa. South Carolina pulled a minor upset last week, while Mississippi State got shocked. But that’s why the smart money in this spot backs the Bulldogs on a bounce-back play.
South Carolina is 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS in its last seven games against Mississippi State.
Mississippi State is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games against its conference.
South Carolina is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games against its conference.
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Source: Bleacher Report -SEC Football