Texas A&M owns four straight victories in its series with Arkansas, but over the last seven meetings, it’s been the Razorbacks taking the cash, going 5-2 against the spread. Old Southwest Conference rivals meet again when the Aggies roll with the Hogs on Saturday night on a neutral field at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas.
Point spread: The Aggies opened as three-point favorites, according to sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark (line updates and matchup report).
College football pick, via Odds Shark computer: 35.3-32.6 Razorbacks (college football picks on every game)
Why the Arkansas Razorbacks can cover the spread
The Hogs are off to a 3-0 start to this season, 2-1 ATS, after disposing of Texas State last week 42-3. Arkansas led 14-0 after one quarter and 35-0 at the half, then gave the backups some reps and still covered as a 29-point favorite. The Hogs racked up 350 yards of total offense in the first half alone and on the day rushed for 226. Meanwhile, the Arkansas defense held a Bobcats offense that produced 546 yards in their season opener to just 105.
Stretching back to last season, the Razorbacks are now 9-1 straight up and 8-2 ATS over their last 10 games. Arkansas opened this season with a lackluster 21-20 victory over Louisiana Tech but then rallied twice late in the game to upset TCU in Fort Worth 41-38 in double overtime.
Why the Texas A&M Aggies can cover the spread
Texas A&M is 3-0 both SU and ATS after winning at Auburn last week 29-16. The Aggies spotted the Tigers the game’s first touchdown, then scored 29 of the next 32 points on their way to the outright victory as one-point underdogs on the road. On the night Texas A&M outgained Auburn 478-399 and didn’t commit a turnover.
The Aggies opened this season with that 31-24 overtime victory over UCLA, but that one shouldn’t have gone that far; they led the Bruins by 15 points late, before letting UCLA back in the game. Texas A&M then bombed Prairie View 67-0, covering as a seven-touchdown favorite.
The last two meetings in this series have gone to overtime, and this one should be close, too. Also, Arkansas outplayed A&M last year and held a late lead before letting it slip away. This week’s game involves two pretty good defenses, so points may not come as easily as first glance might suggest. That’s why the smart play here is the Hogs plus the points.
Arkansas is 0-4 SU in its last four games against Texas A&M.
Arkansas is 5-2 ATS in its last seven games against Texas A&M.
Texas A&M is 2-5 ATS in its last seven games against its conference.
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Source: Bleacher Report -SEC Football